Commercial Due Diligence

Customer truth before you invest

Management teams tell you what they want you to hear. Customers tell you what's actually happening. Interview 50-200 customers of an acquisition target in days — not months — and get the retention risk, growth thesis validation, and competitive positioning evidence your IC memo needs.

48-72 hour turnaround
98% participant satisfaction
4M+ panelists
Intelligence Report Live
0% Retention
NPS Score
72%
Growth Signal
65%
Churn Risk
28%
AI Insight

Customer concentration risk: top 3 accounts show declining satisfaction trend over 2 quarters...

User Intuition
Benchmark
78%
Live

Trusted by teams at

Capital One
RudderStack
Nivella Health
Turning Point Brands
BuildHer
Abacus Wealth
TL;DR

You're evaluating a $200M acquisition. Management says retention is strong, NPS is high, and customers love the product. But the data room only shows what the target chose to include. Three months post-close, you discover the largest customer is evaluating competitors and two mid-market accounts churned during the deal process. Across commercial due diligence engagements, the highest-impact findings consistently come from what customers say when management isn't in the room. User Intuition interviews 50-200 customers of an acquisition target in 48-72 hours — delivering retention risk scores, growth thesis validation, competitive positioning evidence, and unfiltered NPS that your IC memo can cite with confidence.

The Problem

You're betting millions on
management's story

The data room shows what the target wants you to see. Customer truth requires a different source.

01

Management-Curated References

Reference calls go to the target's happiest customers. You hear the best 5% and assume they represent the base. The 95% you never hear from hold the real retention story.

02

NPS Without the Why

The target reports a 45 NPS. But is that trending up or down? Are promoters loyal or just locked in by switching costs? A number without context is a false signal.

03

No Independent Customer Voice

Every data point in the data room was chosen by the target. Financial data is audited. Customer sentiment is not. You're trusting the seller's version of customer reality.

04

Traditional Diligence Takes Too Long

Consulting firms take 6-12 weeks for a commercial diligence workstream. In competitive deal processes, that timeline costs you the deal or forces you to bid without evidence.

05

Customer Concentration Risk Is Hidden

Revenue concentration is visible in the data room. Relationship concentration is not. If one champion leaves a key account, what happens to that revenue?

06

Growth Thesis Is Untested

The investment thesis assumes cross-sell, upsell, or market expansion. But do customers actually want more? Would they pay more? You're projecting growth without demand evidence.

Use Cases

Real-world applications
for Commercial Due Diligence

Retention Risk Assessment

Interview the customer base to identify accounts at risk of churning, reasons for declining satisfaction, and the gap between reported and actual retention health.

Price the real retention risk into your bid

Growth Thesis Validation

Test whether customers would buy more, pay more, or expand usage. Validate cross-sell and upsell assumptions with demand evidence from real customers.

Investment thesis backed by customer demand

Competitive Positioning Assessment

Understand how the target's customers perceive them versus alternatives. Identify if the competitive moat is real or if customers are actively evaluating competitors.

Know the moat before you pay for it

Champion & Relationship Mapping

Identify which customer relationships depend on specific individuals. Surface concentration risk that doesn't appear in financial data.

Map the relationships that matter to retention

Independent NPS & Satisfaction

Generate an independent, unfiltered customer satisfaction score that the target didn't curate. Compare against their reported metrics to calibrate trust.

NPS you can trust in your IC memo

Post-Acquisition Baseline

Establish a customer sentiment baseline before close. Use it to measure the impact of integration decisions and track whether the value creation plan is working.

Measure value creation from day one
Compare

User Intuition vs.
traditional Commercial Due Diligence

Dimension User Intuition Consulting Firms / Reference Calls / Survey DD
Data Source AI interviews with 50-200 customers 5-10 management-curated reference calls
Independence Fully independent · target doesn't select participants Target selects which customers you speak to
Turnaround 48-72 hours 6-12 weeks (consulting) or 2-4 weeks (survey)
Cost $2K-$15K $100K-$500K (consulting) or $20K-$50K (survey)
Sample Size 50-200 customers interviewed 5-10 references or survey response rates of 15-20%
Depth 5-7 levels through laddering Surface-level reference calls or closed-ended surveys
Bias Risk Low · random or stratified sample High (management selects happy customers)
Deal Timeline Fit Results before your next IC meeting Results after the exclusivity window closes
How It Works

From LOI to customer evidence in 72 hours

1
5 min

Design The Study

Define your diligence questions — retention risk, growth thesis, competitive moat, NPS — and provide the customer list or target segment. Our AI builds the interview guide, screener, and sample plan around your investment thesis.

2
48-72 hrs

AI Conducts the Conversations

Each customer completes a 10-20 minute AI-moderated voice interview exploring satisfaction, switching intent, competitive alternatives, and expansion willingness. The AI probes deeper on risk signals — not just satisfaction scores.

3
Seconds

Get Evidence-Backed Results

Receive a structured diligence report with retention risk scores, independent NPS, growth thesis evidence, competitive positioning data, and customer verbatims — formatted for IC memos and investment committee presentations.

4
Post-Close

Track Value Creation

Re-run the same study post-acquisition to measure whether integration decisions improve or erode customer satisfaction. Build a longitudinal view of the customer base you acquired.

"The target reported 92% retention. Our independent interviews revealed 3 of the top 10 accounts were actively evaluating competitors. That finding alone changed our bid price by $15M and shaped our first 90-day integration plan."

Archie C., CEO — WhatsTheMove

Methodology & Trust

When AI Helps and When a Human Should Lead Due Diligence

AI-moderated interviews deliver scalable, unbiased customer evidence at deal speed — but some diligence contexts require human expertise.

AI-Moderated Interviews Excel At

  • Structured customer satisfaction and retention risk assessment
  • Independent NPS generation at scale
  • Growth thesis testing across the full customer base
  • Consistent methodology across 50-200 interviews
  • Eliminating reference call selection bias
  • Rapid turnaround within deal timelines

Consider Human Moderation For

  • C-suite executive interviews at key accounts
  • Sensitive topics requiring relationship trust
  • Highly technical product evaluation conversations
  • Strategic accounts where rapport is critical
  • Complex multi-stakeholder buying center interviews
  • Deep regulatory or compliance-driven industries

Methodology refined through Fortune 500 consulting engagements.

Get Started

Don't bid on a story.
Bid on customer truth.

In 48-72 hours, get independent customer evidence that strengthens your IC memo, calibrates your bid, and shapes your value creation plan from day one.

For Deal Teams

See how PE and M&A teams use AI-moderated interviews to de-risk acquisitions. We'll walk through a real diligence case study.

Free Trial

Test with a current portfolio company. Results in 48-72 hours. No contract, no setup.

No contract · No retainers · Results in 48-72 hours

FAQ

Common questions

Yes — that's the primary use case. 48-72 hour turnaround means you get customer evidence before your next IC meeting. Teams routinely run diligence studies during exclusivity periods where consulting timelines don't fit.
Multiple approaches: you provide the customer list from the data room, we recruit from our 4M+ panel by targeting the target's customer profile, or we blend both. For B2B targets, we can also recruit through professional panels by company and role.
Reference calls interview 5-10 customers that the target hand-selects — their happiest clients. Our approach interviews 50-200 customers independently, with no target involvement in selection. You hear from the full base, not the curated best.
A structured diligence report with: independent NPS score and trend indicators, retention risk assessment by segment, growth thesis evidence (willingness to expand, cross-sell receptivity), competitive positioning versus alternatives, and key customer verbatims. Formatted for IC memo insertion.
Typically $2K-$15K depending on sample size and complexity. Compare that to $100K-$500K for a traditional consulting-led commercial diligence workstream. The cost difference means you can run diligence on more targets in your pipeline.
Yes. Many PE firms establish a customer sentiment baseline at close, then re-run quarterly to track whether value creation initiatives improve customer health. The Intelligence Hub tracks trends across all studies.
All interviews are conducted under standard research confidentiality agreements. The target's identity is not disclosed to participants unless you choose to. All data is encrypted, access-controlled, and compliant with ISO 27001, GDPR, and HIPAA.
Any deal where customer sentiment materially affects valuation: B2B SaaS, consumer brands, marketplace businesses, healthcare platforms, fintech. Particularly valuable for subscription businesses where retention directly impacts enterprise value.
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